Chicago is facing criticism from federal investigators for hindering affordable housing by allowing City Council members to reject such developments in their wards, by using their aldermanic prerogative. The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development suggests that the aldermanic prerogative gives City Council members too much power to veto affordable housing proposals.

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HUD's Lon Meltesen, regional director of HUD’s Office of Fair Housing and Equal Opportunity wrote, "the department’s investigation indicates that the city affords each of its 50 wards a local veto over proposals to build affordable housing and that many majority-white wards use the local veto to block, deter or downsize such proposals.” He further said that veto “disproportionately harms Black and Hispanic households who are far more likely than white households to need and qualify for affordable housing." The investigation was triggered in November 2018, when a complaint was filed to HUD by the Chicago Area Fair Housing Alliance and nine other advocacy groups, against the City Council members' use of the veto power.

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Photo by Matthew Hamilton on Unsplash

The law of supply and demand doesn't seem to be working in the context of the U.S. housing market. As prices hit record highs, available homes remain at record lows. We had visualized the demand and supply gap in our Housing Count project, so you can check out the status of this gap in your own counties.

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The recent surge in housing development, particularly in states like Florida and Idaho, marks a notable departure from the housing crisis of 2007. This time around, the boom is characterized by a shift towards apartment buildings and condo complexes. Notably, South Dakota, Colorado, Florida, and Arizona are emerging as leaders in the production of multifamily housing units, with only D.C. surpassing them. Contrastingly, some of the traditional multifamily housing strongholds, including states like Pennsylvania, Illinois, and New York, are lagging behind in housing production. This shift in dynamics suggests a changing landscape in the housing market, with a move away from high-rise-heavy megalopoli towards a more decentralized approach to housing development.

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• Red counties are permitting more housing development than blue counties
• Part of the reasoning for the above could be because these localities are able to build more cheaply and be more responsive to housing needs
• Another reason could be more restrictive zoning, NIMBYism and environmental regulation in blue counties, which can deter housing growth, as we saw in the failure of the NYC Housing Compact case

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Overall, the analysts didn't find any major correlations between a state’s politics and its housing production.

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(Image credits: Stock photos) 

The United States faces a severe housing shortage, and while some state and local leaders are trying to address it through new construction, the article argues that rehabilitating and reusing older and historic buildings should be a crucial part of the solution. Approximately 40% of America's building stock is at least 50 years old, and many such structures are in need of upgrades and repairs. Rehabbing these older buildings for housing is often more cost-effective and environmentally friendly than new construction. The Advisory Council on Historic Preservation is considering a policy that encourages such rehabilitation and adaptation, and it could guide federal, state, local, nonprofit, and individual actions. The aim is to increase affordable housing and align with the Biden administration's housing goals.

For decades, Montgomery County has led the country in affordable housing innovations, including a landmark law that requires developers to set aside about 15 percent of the units in new projects for households making less than two-thirds of the area’s median income, which is now $152,100 for a family of four. 

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The government agency in the area, the Housing Opportunities Commission of Montgomery County, has a stake in the new developments in the county. As a result, new projects are combining private and public subsidies and putting a modern spin on the concept of public housing. 

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The Laureate, a newly developed swanky residence that sits outside Washington, D.C., is the first building financed with a new $100 million fund that Montgomery County created to speed development by having H.O.C. invest directly in new projects, then using its ownership position to become a kind of benevolent investor that trades profits for lower rents.

Gov. Kotek’s first promise upon taking office is to build 36,000 new homes annually to overcome our housing backlog and bring down costs of housing statewide. While the homebuilding industry adamantly supports this goal, we know that everyone will need to do their part to bring down the high costs of housing and rent that are impacting families across this state.

As rents skyrocketed in the aftermath of the pandemic and have continued squeezing Nevadans in the last year, local officials on numerous occasions stressed state law restricted them from taking action to address the housing crisis. Now given a chance to weigh in on legislation that would clarify their authority, local governments have been mostly silent on the matter.

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Image credits - iStockPhoto

"Florida Senate Bill 102 is among the most impactful legislation to stimulate the new construction of affordable housing that’s taken effect in Florida. The bill increases funding availability and provides important incentives to make affordable housing more feasible. However, Senate Bill 102 alone is not a silver bullet. Without increased engagement from local governments and increased local and federal affordable housing subsidies, communities will continue to experience an affordable housing supply that is far below the increasing need." – Jake Morrow, Principal, Interurban.

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Integra Investments and Centennial Bank executives discuss this major legislation, as well as their efforts to ease Miami's housing crisis.

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Image: Program logo from the Florida Housing Finance Corp. website

Arizona is short more than 200,000 homes to match demand and lawmakers proposed to fix that by changing local zoning regulations to make building easier, a strategy that has drawn heated opposition from cities across the state.

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Image credits - Unsplash

With climate change making severe weather events more common and the area’s housing crisis increasing the number of people who need support, the operation of the shelters is taking an increasing toll on county and city officials and budgets, as well as the community volunteers whose labor the region relies on to run the shelters.

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Image credits - Mika Baumeister/Unsplash

According to a recent market study report by Arizent, where the company surveyed professionals across different financial segments such as banking, insurance, mortgage, technology etc, there is a range of different opinions about AI. Most respondents have concerns over job displacement and ethical considerations persist, especially regarding generative AI's accuracy and fairness. The general attitude among mortgage professionals is to be hyper cautious towards adopting generative AI, and they citied uncertainty and budget constraints as top considerations. Some of the main concerns of industry professionals regarding the adoption of AI includes loss of personalized customer interactions and job security. Despite apprehensions, there's acknowledgment of AI's potential to enhance efficiency and job performance, with expectations of AI handling a significant portion of tasks within the next five years. While efficiency gains are anticipated across various industries, banking professionals foresee AI primarily bolstering fraud protection.

In 2024, the rental market is poised for transformation with two key factors: the growing impact of artificial intelligence (AI) tools and heightened competition among the multifamily rental market. A survey by AppFolio indicates that nearly half of property management professionals either use AI or plan to adopt it. Property managers face the challenge of maintaining high occupancy rates amidst a competitive market, with delinquencies identified as a top threat. To thrive in this changing landscape, property managers are leveraging AI to enhance operational efficiency, streamline tasks, and improve employee satisfaction, while also focusing on understanding resident expectations and offering digital services to attract and retain modern renters. A strategic technology approach is crucial for success in 2024 and beyond.

Photo by Towfiqu barbhuiya on Unsplash

In 2021 and 2022, the commercial real estate sector experienced a surge in proptech adoption, leading to increased investment. However, a recent report from the Center for Real Estate Technology and Innovation highlights a slowdown in momentum during 2023, attributed to factors such as inflation and geopolitical uncertainty. Venture capital investment in proptech witnessed a significant decline of 42% in 2023, amounting to $11.38 billion, compared to the previous year's total of $19.75 billion and the peak of $32 billion in 2021. Notably, the multifamily segment is being hailed as resilient, owing to continued robust activity in technologies targeting this space. What remains popular are technologies that help solve consumer problems, like reducing fraud.

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(Photo by Luis Villasmil on Unsplash)

Retail giant Amazon announced on Wednesday the launch of a new pilot program designed to assist moderate-income families in three different U.S. communities with the purchase of up to 800 homes, in partnership with the National Housing Trust (NHT).

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The initiative will include $40 million to assist residents in the Puget Sound, Washington, Arlington, Virginia, and Nashville, Tennessee communities, the company said. Amazon says the investment will “help moderate-income residents in these communities to purchase homes as a path to help build generational wealth.”

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The nonprofit NHT will use the funds from Amazon’s program to acquire and build affordable homes for sale in partnership with a network of local organizations - Habitat for Humanity Seattle-King & Kittitas Counties serving the Puget Sound region; the African Community Housing & Development (ACHD) and Homestead Community Land Trust both serving King County, Wash., the Douglass Community Land Trust in Washington, D.C. and The Housing Fund serving Nashville.

Developers are analyzing how to take advantage of Florida’s new legislation, which will set aside over $700 million in funding, create tax breaks, and provide zoning-related incentives for affordable and workforce housing developments. 

The law could contribute to a new boom in housing development, from entirely affordable buildings to mixed-income towers on commercial sites that developers are now looking to purchase, experts say. The Live Local Act, which Gov. Ron DeSantis signed last week, aims to help fill financing gaps, making more developments economically feasible. What is still crucial, attorneys and developers said, is combining that with incentives on the local level. he new legislation sets aside $259 million in SAIL (State Apartment Incentive Loan) funds. It also promises $252 million in SHIP (State Housing Initiatives Program) funding to incentivize local governments to partner with developers preserving or building new housing. The law goes into effect July 1. Developers are expected to apply for incentives this summer, and receive funds next year. If developers don’t have to pay property taxes (beginning in 2024), they can count on a project generating more net operating income, which means they can borrow more debt. Ultimately, that means they could develop more units, experts said. The huge increase in construction costs — including the price of land, debt, labor and materials — and insurance have contributed to the lack of affordable housing.

The Live Local Act aims to remedy some of that. It will put $100 million in non-recurring funds into a competitive loan program that developers could tap to cover inflation-related cost increases for Florida Housing and Finance Corporation-approved multifamily developments that haven’t broken ground yet.

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Image: Brian Sidman, Keith Poliakoff, J.C. De Ona and Jake Morrow (Source: Getty)

With climate change making severe weather events more common and the area’s housing crisis increasing the number of people who need support, the operation of the shelters is taking an increasing toll on county and city officials and budgets, as well as the community volunteers whose labor the region relies on to run the shelters.

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Image credits - Mika Baumeister/Unsplash

Bank of America economists predict the US housing market won't recover until at least 2026, with home affordability improving only with a recession. They attribute the prolonged downturn to a surge in demand during the pandemic, followed by high inflation and mortgage rates. Home prices are expected to rise by 4.5% in 2024 and 5% in 2025, then stabilize in 2026. The "lock-in effect" of current homeowners unwilling to sell due to high mortgage rates will persist. However, improving credit conditions and less restrictive monetary policies may attract some buyers back to the market.

The worsening housing affordability crisis in the U.S. has broken several records, the recent being the national affordability gap nearing a 10-year high. Only 63% of counties are now affordable for median-income households, compared to 94% in 2019. The median home price exceeds what the average household can afford by nearly $70,000. The West, especially the San Francisco Bay Area, is facing significant gaps due to supply shortages and continues to top the list of one of the most unaffordable housing markets in the country. Even traditionally affordable areas like Henry County, Indiana, are seeing dramatic price increases, making homeownership increasingly unattainable for many. High interest rates, low construction, and rising prices are key factors.

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You can see a full breakdown of affordable housing shortage by county on our Housing Count page

In 2023, the number of homeless individuals in the U.S. reached approximately 653,000, the highest since such records began in 2007. This figure represents a significant 12% increase compared to 2020, as reported by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development in their Annual Homelessness Assessment Report to Congress. Data for this report is gathered from point-in-time counts conducted every January by volunteers, local outreach teams, shelters, and service providers. Here are the top 10 states with the largest homesless population:

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1. California (181,399)
2. New York (103,200)
3. Florida (30,756)
4. Washington (28,036)
5. Texas (27,377)
6. Oregon (20,142)
7. Massachusetts (19,141)
8. Colorado (14,439)
9. Arizona (14,237)
10. Pennsylvania (12,556)

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In the first quarter of 2024, home prices increased in 93% of U.S. metro areas, with significant growth observed in 30% of these markets. The national median price for single-family homes rose to $389,400, marking a 5% year-over-year increase. The South led in sales volume, while the Northeast saw the highest price appreciation. Despite high mortgage rates, market conditions improved slightly for buyers due to a marginal decline in required mortgage payments compared to the previous quarter.

The housing market for buyers in California is becoming increasingly challenging. Prices are soaring while the inventory remains limited. Statistics reveal a stark reality: home prices have surged 9.7% over the past year, with the median home price now at $813,980. Meanwhile, inventory levels have plummeted by 48.3%, exacerbating the affordability crisis. Despite historically low mortgage rates, competition remains fierce, leading to bidding wars and further price escalation. Experts suggest that while the market may stabilize in the long term, immediate relief for buyers appears unlikely.

Currently, the average rate for a 30-year mortgage stands at around 6.9%, a significant decrease from late October when it peaked at nearly 8%. Despite expectations of rates declining later in the year, some buyers are opting to act now due to fears of increased competition. The combination of high mortgage rates and soaring home prices has made affordability a major concern, with many households earning less than what's needed to afford a median-priced home. While economists anticipate mortgage rates easing, uncertainty remains.

Homeownership among Black Americans has consistently trailed behind all others in the country, including by 28% compared to white homeowners. However, according to a new report by the National Association of Realtors (NAR), Black homeownership is expected rise in the future. 

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How? As more Millennials and Gen Z enter into the home buying market, there will be a rise in minority owners. This is because on average, this demographic is more racially and ethnically diverse. 

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Future predictions - 1.5 million Black households will turn the median homebuying age over the next 5 years. Female and millennial buyers have been driving growth in Black homeownership and will continue to do so. Besides Black households, 775,000 Asian households and 2.2 million Hispanic households will also turn the median homebuying age in the next 5 years.

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Challenges remain - Barriers such as rental affordability, student debt, and mortgage denial rates persist, hindering Black Americans' ability to purchase homes and achieve equitable homeownership rates. Addressing these challenges will be crucial to fostering greater inclusivity in the housing market.

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Photo by Tierra Mallorca on Unsplash

Rising rents and reduced working hours during the COVID-19 pandemic have left many U.S. renters struggling to make ends meet, with a record 50% paying over 30% of their income on rent and utilities, per Harvard University's report. The unaffordability trend saw the most significant jump among households earning $30,000 to $74,999 annually, with a third of full-time renters still being heavily cost-burdened. Even lower-income renters, already facing severe challenges, experienced a further increase to 83% being cost-burdened. The report attributes the homelessness surge to a severe housing shortage and rising rent costs, exacerbated by a lack of affordable housing options. Despite a cooling housing market, the cost of construction has hit record highs leading to the construction of predominantly high-end apartments. This is further contributing to a growing affordability gap, with median rents outpacing income growth since 2001. The situation has increased demand for federal housing subsidies, which remain underfunded and insufficient.

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Photo by Levi Meir Clancy on Unsplash

In recent quarters, US bank loans backed by owner-occupied commercial real estate have outperformed those backed by nonowner-occupied properties. This shift began in 2020 when work-from-home policies impacted nonowner-occupied commercial real estate loans. The delinquency ratio for nonowner-occupied properties surpassed that of owner-occupied ones in 2022 and continued to rise in 2023. The trend suggests that loans on owner-occupied properties carry less risk, reflecting property owners' likelihood to stay current on loans. However, the performance varies based on bank size, with larger banks experiencing worse delinquency ratios for nonowner-occupied loans. Notably, some major lenders like Morgan Stanley and Citigroup focus heavily on nonowner-occupied properties.

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Photo by Jorge Salvador on Unsplash

The housing market is undergoing significant challenges, with 2023 expected to see the lowest home sales since 2010. Despite an anticipated increase in activity in 2024, transactions are projected to remain below average. Mortgage rates, after reaching a two-decade high in 2023, are expected to decrease in 2024 but will likely settle between 6% and 6.5%. This shift may attract both buyers and sellers, reshaping market dynamics.

The trajectory of home prices is uncertain and hinges on the timing of buyer and seller reentry. If sellers enter first, early 2024 could witness modest and short-lived price drops. However, markets with affordability challenges, particularly major coastal areas, face higher risks of corrections. Conversely, a resurgence of buyers before sellers could lead to a competitive market with rising prices.

First-time buyers may initially favor the rental market due to attractive deals, but the strong desire for homeownership, especially among millennials, suggests potential shifts as rates drop and inventory increases in 2024. Demographic factors, including delayed home purchases by boomers and the pent-up demand from millennials, are expected to keep inventory low, supporting firm and growing home prices in 2024.

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While there is optimism, potential wildcards, such as the threat of another coronavirus strain, geopolitical risks, economic recession, and political uncertainties, could impact consumer confidence and influence home buying and selling activity in unforeseen ways.

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Photo by Breno Assis on Unsplash

Modular housing is seen as a solution to housing shortages, offering efficiency, and cost reduction, but many companies like Katerra and Veev have failed to achieve financial viability. What is ailing the manufactured homes market? Experts believe over-regulation by the Government in the form of restrictive zoning laws, hinders industry growth for these companies. They are unable to build at scale and therefore, unable to turn a profit. Perceptions of inferiority and a lack of consistent demand pose challenges as well. The Biden administration has proposed easing regulations but it's still a long road ahead for companies that are working in this space.

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Photo by Blake Wheeler on Unsplash

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In a bold initiative to tackle New York's housing crisis, the city is adopting a novel approach: incentivizing homeowners to convert their garages and attics into additional living spaces by offering to pay them. NYCHPD Commissioner Adolfo Carrion Jr. announced on Nov 21, the launch of a new pilot program called “Plus One ADU”. The pilot program will make available $395,000 in funding through HPD and $2.6 million in grant funding from New York State Homes and Community Renewal (HCR). Applications are now open for qualified homeowners to build “accessory dwelling units,” or ADUs, which have proven to be one of the most effective local solutions to tackle housing affordability and offer additional living space for multi-generational housing.  

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Currently, the program aims at offering 15 owners of single-family homes the funding needed to build detached units or retrofitting basements. Each owner will receive up to $400,000. The eligibility criteria is based on income, and a family of four will have a ceiling of $232,980, with lower-income households being prioritized. The rents in these ADUs will be capped at around $2,600 for a one-bedroom apartment.

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(Image credits: Adobe stock images)

The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) has announced updated appraisal requirements for the valuation of manufactured homes certified under Fannie Mae's MH AdvantageTM and Freddie Mac's CHOICEHome® programs. These updates, unveiled by Federal Housing Commissioner Julia Gordon at a conference in Chicago, align FHA appraisal requirements with industry standards, aiming to enhance the valuation of these homes for borrowers seeking FHA-insured mortgages. The changes support the Biden-Harris Administration's Housing Supply Action Plan and its goal of increasing the availability and affordability of manufactured housing. The updated policy allows appraisers to use appropriate site-built-home comparable sales when there are insufficient comparable sales for certified manufactured homes, removing a roadblock to the effectiveness of FHA programs in serving buyers of these energy-efficient and affordable homes.

California Governor Gavin Newsom signed a new law aimed at addressing the state's ongoing homeless crisis. The law allows religious institutions and nonprofit colleges to rezone their properties for low-income housing, bypassing local permitting and environmental review rules. This "YIGBY" (Yes in God's Backyard) initiative seeks to utilize surplus land and underutilized parking lots for housing. It is seen as a significant step in combating homelessness, as California is home to nearly a third of all homeless people in the U.S. The law will be in effect from 2024 until 2036 and is expected to unlock opportunities for housing development across the state. Additionally, Governor Newsom signed another housing bill extending the life of a law that streamlines rules for housing projects, further promoting housing construction in California. However, the legislation faced opposition from various cities and environmental groups. The state's ongoing efforts to address homelessness also include the construction of 1,200 tiny homes in four cities.

A coalition of trade associations, including CHLA, NAR, and ICBA, has called on the Biden administration to address the historically large spread between 30-year mortgage rates and 10-year Treasuries. The spread, currently over 300 basis points, far surpasses the historic norm of around 150 basis points. The trade groups have urged the Federal Reserve to change its policy, maintaining its stock of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and suspending runoff until the spread stabilizes. They also recommend amending preferred stock purchase agreements (PSPAs) to enable Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to purchase their MBS temporarily. These actions could potentially reduce mortgage rates by 100 to 150 basis points, providing market certainty amid rising rates.

Although Texas builds more homes than any other state, it’s not building enough to keep up with its massive population and economic growth, leading to historically high housing costs, according to housing advocates, builders and real estate experts. By some estimates, the state is short hundreds of thousands of homes.A sweeping agenda to slow Texas’ substantial rise in housing costs by reining in local regulations that opponents say get in the way of building new homes has died quietly in the Texas Legislature.

As rents skyrocketed in the aftermath of the pandemic and have continued squeezing Nevadans in the last year, local officials on numerous occasions stressed state law restricted them from taking action to address the housing crisis. Now given a chance to weigh in on legislation that would clarify their authority, local governments have been mostly silent on the matter.

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Image credits - iStockPhoto

Many in New York hoped that the final version of the state’s $229 billion budget would include provisions to prevent cities and towns from limiting themselves exclusively to the construction of single-family homes. However, the Governor's Housing Compact plan was abandoned when it proved too controversial to keep budget negotiations with the Legislature moving along. Read about what this missed opportunity could cost the state.

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Photo by Tom Rumble on Unsplash

On January 10, 2023, Governor Kathy Hochul announced a statewide strategy to address New York’s housing crisis. This new plan, named The New York Housing Compact, aims to build 800,000 new homes over the next decade to meet the state’s historic housing shortage.‍

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Hochul’s Compact would have boosted housing production in New York City’s suburbs, by overriding local planning boards that limit most land to single-family detached homes. However, it didn't make it past the State Budget after heated negotiations at the State Legislature.

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What is next for New York's affordable housing future?

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Imade credits - Mike Groll/Office of Governor Kathy Hochul